Nelson BC real estate blog by Robert Goertz of Valhalla Path Realty. Keeping you up to date with the Nelson and West Kootenay real estate markets.
Tuesday, February 11, 2014
Wednesday, February 5, 2014
5 Questions Every Borrower Should Ask
As a mortgage borrower – particularly if this is your
first time embarking upon homeownership – there’s no doubt you have a load of
questions related to the mortgage process. Aside from the most common
questions, such as those relating to mortgage rate, the maximum mortgage amount
you’ll be able to receive, as well as how much money you’ll need to provide for
a down payment, the following five questions and answers will help you dig a
little deeper into the mortgage financing process.
1. Can I make lump-sum or other prepayments on my
mortgage without being penalized? Most lenders enable lump-sum payments and
increased mortgage payments to a maximum amount per year. But, since each
lender and product is different, it’s important to check stipulations on
prepayments prior to signing your mortgage papers. Most “no frills” mortgage
products offering the lowest rates often do not allow for prepayments.
2. What mortgage term is best for me? Terms typically
range from six months up to 10 years. The first consideration when comparing
various mortgage terms is to understand that a longer term generally means a
higher corresponding interest rate and a shorter term generally means a lower
corresponding interest rate. While this generalization may lead you to believe
that a shorter term is always the preferred option, this isn’t always the case.
Sometimes there are other factors – either in the financial markets or in your
own life – you’ll also have to take into consideration. If paying your mortgage
each month places you close to the financial edge of your comfort zone, you may
want to opt for a longer mortgage term, such as five or 10 years, so that you
can ensure that you’ll be able to afford your mortgage payments should interest
rates increase.
3. Is my mortgage portable? Fixed-rate products usually
have a portability option. Lenders often use a “blended” system where your
current mortgage rate stays the same on the mortgage amount ported over to the
new property and the new balance is calculated using the current rate. With
variable-rate mortgages, however, porting is usually not available. This means
that when breaking your existing mortgage, you will face a penalty. This charge
may or may not be reimbursed with your new mortgage. Some lenders allow you to
port your mortgage, but your sale and purchase have to happen on the same day,
while others offer extended periods.
4. What amortization will work best for me? The lending
industry's benchmark amortization period is 25 years, and this is also the
standard used by lenders when discussing mortgage offers, as well as the basis
for mortgage calculators and payment tables. Shorter time-frames are also
available. The main reason to opt for a shorter amortization period is that
you'll become mortgage-free sooner. And since you're agreeing to pay off your
mortgage in a shorter period of time, the interest you pay over the life of the
mortgage is, therefore, greatly reduced. A shorter amortization also affords
the luxury of building up equity in your home sooner. While it pays to opt for
a shorter amortization period, other considerations must be made before
selecting your amortization. Because you're reducing the actual number of
mortgage payments you make to pay off your mortgage, your regular payments will
be higher. So if your income is irregular because you're paid commission or if
you're buying a home for the first time and will be carrying a large mortgage,
a shorter amortization period that increases your regular payment amount and
ties up your cash flow may not be your best option.
5. How do I ensure my credit score enables me to qualify
for the best possible rate? There are several things you can do to ensure your
credit remains in good standing. Following are five steps you can follow: 1)
Pay down credit cards. This is the #1 way to increase your credit score. 2)
Limit the use of credit cards. If there’s a balance at the end of the month,
this affects your score – credit formulas don’t take into account the fact that
you may have paid the balance off the next month. 3) Check credit limits.
Ensure everything’s up to date as old bills that have been paid can come back
to haunt you. 4) Keep old cards. Older credit is better credit. Use older cards
periodically and then pay them off. 5) Don’t let mistakes build up. Always dispute
any mistakes or situations that may harm your score by making the credit bureau
aware of each situation.
Canadian Building Permits
Canadian building permits declined 4.1 per cent in
December to $6.5 billion, the second consecutive monthly decrease following
November's 6.6 per cent drop. The decline in building permits was led by weaker
permitting activity for Ontario and BC multi-family projects.
Construction intentions in BC tumbled 30 per cent from
November as both residential and non-residential permits experience substantial
monthly declines. On a year-over-year basis, the value of total BC building
permits was down 4.8 per cent compare to December 2012. For all of 2013, the total value of BC
building permits fell 8 per cent from 2012.
Building permit activity was down across all of BC's four
major census metropolitan areas (CMA) in December. In the Abbotsford-Mission
CMA, permits fell 7.1 per cent on a monthly basis and were down 31 per
year-over-year. Construction intentions
in the Victoria CMA declined 2.3 from November and 22.6 per cent
year-over-year. In the Kelowna CMA, permits were down 29 per cent from November
and 26 per cent year-over-year. Finally,
in the Vancouver CMA building permits
were off 31.4 per cent cent month-over-month but rose 12.4 per cent compared to
December 2012.
Copyright BCREA –reprinted with permission
Tuesday, February 4, 2014
Canadian Monthly GDP Growth
The Canadian economy grew 0.2 per cent in November, the
fifth consecutive month of expanding real GDP growth. At the industry level,
growth was led by rising output in the mining and oil and gas industry, while
output declined in the manufacturing and wholesale trade industries. With today's release, we now have two months
of GDP data for the fourth quarter of 2013. Our quarterly tracking estimate is
currently indicating that real GDP will expand between 2.5 and 3 per cent in
the fourth quarter.
Copyright BCREA – reprinted with permission
Thursday, January 30, 2014
Housing Demand to Trend Higher
BCREA 2014 First Quarter Housing Forecast Update
The British Columbia Real Estate Association (BCREA)
released its 2014 First Quarter Housing Forecast Update today.
BC Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) residential sales are
forecast to increase 4.8 per cent to 76,450 units this year, before increasing
a further 7 per cent to 81,800 units in 2015. The five-year average is 75,400
unit sales, while the ten-year average is 84,400 unit sales. A record 106,300
MLS® residential sales were recorded in 2005.
"Housing demand in the province has nearly fully recovered
from the 2012 downturn,” said Cameron Muir, BCREA Chief Economist. “Over the
next year, BC will be the beneficiary of more robust global economic growth,
led by a resurgent US economy and a favourable exchange rate. The resulting
boost in employment will help underpin the housing market."
"Home prices are not expected to climb much higher than
the overall inflation rate as housing starts are expected to keep pace with
consumer demand, added Muir. The average MLS® residential price is forecast to
increase 1.8 per cent to $547,300 this year and a further 1.7 per cent to
$556,800 in 2015.
Copyright BCREA – reprinted with permission
US Real GDP Growth
The BEA's preliminary estimate of Q4 US GDP came in at 3.2
per cent, modestly higher than consensus expectations of 3.1 per cent and a
deceleration from Q3's 4.1 per cent growth.
The details of the report were overwhelmingly positive with personal
consumption, exports and business investment all making healthy contributions
to growth. In fact, GDP would have grown by over 4 per cent in the fourth
quarter were it not for a contraction in US government spending. For all of 2013, the US economy grew at a somewhat
disappointing 1.9 per cent rate, though showed significant momentum in the
second half of the year with quarterly growth averaging 3.7 per cent. It is
worth noting that today's release is a preliminary estimate and will be revised
in subsequent months.
Bond markets have thus far shrugged off further Fed tapering
announced at yesterday's US Federal Reserve meeting as well as today's positive
news regarding economic growth. Interest
rates in the US are modestly higher this morning while the yield on 5-year
Government of Canada bonds, the key benchmark rate for 5-year mortgages, have
remained relatively unchanged at less than 1.6 per cent.
Copyright BCREA – reprinted with permission
Friday, January 24, 2014
Canadian Consumer Price Inflation
Canadian consumer prices rose 1.2 per cent in the twelve
months to December, a modest increase from 0.9 per cent inflation in
November. The Bank of Canada's index of
core inflation, which strips out the most volatile components of the CPI, such
as food and energy prices, increased 1.3 per cent in December. Consumer prices
in BC were unchanged in December on a year-over-year basis.
The Bank of Canada's repeated messaging around downside
risks to inflation continue to have their desired effect. The five-year
Government of Canada bond yield, the key benchmark for fixed mortgage rate
pricing, has now fallen over 30 basis points since the beginning of the year to
under 1.6 per cent, prompting lenders to cut posted mortgage rates. While we
still anticipate that mortgage rates will be higher at the end of the year, a
continued low-rate environment early in the year should provide a boost to the
market heading into the spring home-buying season.
Copyright BCREA – reprinted with permission
Thursday, January 23, 2014
Canadian Retail Sales
Canadian
retail sales rose 0.6 per cent in November, the fourth increase in the past
five months. The advance in sales was largely attributable to higher sales of
motor vehicles and parts as well as electronics and appliances. In
inflation-adjusted terms, retail sales rose 0.8 per cent, a higher rate than
nominal sales growth due to holiday discounting and heightened retail
competition.
Retail
sales are finally showing signs of strength following close to a year of meager
gains. Sales in BC were up 1.4 per cent in November, the third increase in the
past four months. Compared to November
2012, sales were up 4.3 per cent.
Year-to-date, BC retail sales have grown 1.7 per cent over 2012.
Copyright
BCREA – reprinted with permission
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